According to UK Finance’s latest mortgage market forecast for 2026, around 1.8 million fixed-rate mortgages are due to expire this year, following 1.6 million in 2025.
This wave of expiries is expected to drive a notable increase in refinancing activity, with external remortgaging forecast to rise by 10%, as borrowers reassess their options in a higher-rate environment.
While overall mortgage lending is projected to grow modestly to £300 billion, the market is increasingly being shaped by affordability pressures and the need for homeowners to navigate changing rates and repayment costs.
For many, 2026 will represent a key moment to review their mortgage strategy and ensure they are well positioned for the next phase of the market.